Today’s Outlook:
US MARKETS: U.S. traders were eyeing their Thanksgiving meals rather than dealing, while in Asia overnight the focus had been signs of more help coming for China’s long-suffering property market.

ASIA MARKETS: Meanwhile, in Asia overnight the focus had been signs of more help coming for China’s long-suffering property market. Chinese government advisers will recommend to an annual policymakers’ meeting that economic growth targets for next year be set at 4.5% to 5.5%, Reuters had reported on Wednesday.

EUROPE MARKETS: For traders, the next thing was the minutes of the European Central Bank’s most recent meeting that showed cautious optimism about their inflation-fighting efforts. Turkey’s central bank also flashed its recently reacquired inflation-fighting credentials by raising its policy rates by another punchy 500 basis points (bps) to 40% having been just 8.5% in early June before the reelection of President Tayyip Erdogan. Slightly stronger than expected German, French and UK PMI data nudged the euro, sterling and bond yields higher. Germany’s 10-year bond, the benchmark for Europe, was set to close around 5 bps higher on the day at 2.62% having touched 3% last month. Ten-year U.S. Treasuries are now at 4.4% compared with their October peak of 5%.

The euro’s bounce pushed the dollar index back down towards a 2,5 month low having moved away from it on Wednesday after the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected.

COMMODITIES: In commodity markets, news that OPEC+ had postponed a weekend meeting sent both Brent and U.S. WTI down as much 2% to $80.70 and $76.03 per barrel respectively on expectations it might see the group cut output less than anticipated.

Corporate News
Pefindo Affirms idA Rating for Boy Thohir’s Issuer Bonds (PALM) Rating agency, Pefindo assigned an idA rating to the planned issuance of Sustainable Bonds II of PT Provident Investasi Bersama Tbk (PALM), with a maximum value of IDR 5 trillion. Pefindo also affirmed the company’s idA rating and the Sustainable Bonds I which are still not due. The outlook for the company’s rating is stable. “The ratings reflect PALM’s strong investment portfolio credit quality, conservative financial policies, and strong liquidity indicators. However, the rating is limited by a concentrated investment portfolio and a very low portion of recurring income,” Pefindo explained in its official statement, Jakarta, Thursday (23/11). (IDX Channel)

Domestic Issue
ST011 Sales Reach IDR12.60 Trillion Retail investors continue to hunt for the ST011 series Savings Sukuk, which can be seen in the sales that have reached IDR 12.63 trillion on Thursday afternoon (23/11/2023) at 11:20 WIB. The ST011 issuance quota at the same period of time has amounted to IDR 14 trillion, an increase of IDR 6 trillion from the initial ST011 issuance quota. As of Thursday afternoon (23/11/2023) at 11.20 WIB, the order value of ST011 with a 2-year tenor or ST011T2 has reached IDR 8.63 trillion. Meanwhile, for ST011 with a tenor of 4 years or ST011T4’s order value has reached IDR 3.99 trillion. Therefore, the remaining quota of ST011 issuance for 2-year tenor or ST011T2 is recorded at IDR 875.55 billion and the remaining quota for 4-year ST011 or ST011T4 is recorded at IDR 503.80 billion. (Bareksa)

Recommendation
US10YT has attempted a technical rebound but still hit the nearest resistance, which is MA10 at 4.465% yield. US10YT in fact carries limited downside potential, just short of reaching the target bottom at 4.309% yield. ADVISE: HOLD; wait for solid bottoming.

ID10YT has yet to find solid support to end this downtrend towards the bottom target at 6.465% yield. Any technical rebound is expected to hit the nearest Resistance which is MA10 / yield 6.739%. ADVISE: HOLD; wait for solid bottoming.

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