Investors held back ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s presentation at 22:00 (GMT) and the February jobs report on Friday. The 10-year and 2-year US Treasury yields turned higher after data showed US Factory Orders (Jan.) fell lower than expected at 1.6% MoM (vs. forecast -1.8%, vs. previous 1.7%). The UK Construction PMI (Feb.) came in at an expansive 54.6 (higher than forecast 49.1, vs. previous 48.4). From Asia, market participants will also keep an eye on China’s Trade Balance (Feb.) report, which is predicted to increase to USD 81.8 billion from USD 78 billion. The raw commodity materials sector was weak yesterday after China set a lower-than-expected target for economic growth this year at around 5%, which was quite disappointing as it was lower than the market forecast of 5.5%. German Factory Orders (Jan.) will also attract market attention to see if it is as contractionary as the US. New orders for German manufacturing companies are projected to fall to -0.9% from the previous month’s 3.2%.
A slow trading pattern was also seen on JCI, where it closed flat, 6 points downward but still stayed above the 6800 Support level. Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo said that Indonesia’s economy could grow 5.1% by 2023 as they try to bring inflation down to below 4% in the 2nd semester. However, the statement could not prevent yesterday’s Foreign Net Sell, which amounted to IDR 250.35 billion, bringing the Rupiah exchange rate to IDR 15322/USD (source: RTI Business). To reduce dependence on the USD, Bank Indonesia and Bank of Korea agreed to extend the bilateral currency swap arrangement (BCSA), which allows the exchange of local currencies of both countries up to KRW 10.7 trillion or equivalent IDR 115 trillion.
FIF Discontinues Sustainable Bonds V Public Offering PT Federal International Finance (FIF) has stopped the Sustainable Public Offering of Sustainable Bonds V (PUB V) effective May 27, 2021. Since it was offered from May 2021 to February 2023, FIF has raised IDR 9.43 trillion from the offering. In fact, the previous target was IDR 10 trillion. Based on an official statement on Monday by FIF President Director Margono Tanuwijaya said that the Company terminated PUB V while considering the plan to issue bonds through a new Sustainable Public Offering. (Kontan)
SR018 Sales Reach IDR 2.28 Trillion Within Just Two Days The total order for the SR018 series of retail sukuk (SR) has reached IDR 2.28 trillion since the offer opened last week on Friday, March 3, 2023. Based on data from one of the online distribution partners on Monday at around 17.00 WIB, sales of the 3-year SR018 T3 series have touched IDR 1.69 trillion. The order quota is listed at IDR 13.30 trillion from the target of IDR 15 trillion. Meanwhile, the SR018 T5 series has sold IDR 587.81 billion. The order limit is IDR 4.41 trillion from the target of IDR 5 trillion. Director of Sharia Financing at the Ministry of Finance’s DJPPR, Dwi Irianti Hadiningdyah, said the government is optimistic that public interest in SR018 will remain high, following the positive trend of previous retail sukuk sales. (Bisnis)
US10YT is still holding above the first Support, which is MA10 / yield 3.965%, trying its best to maintain this short-term Uptrend. The MA20 Support Test / at the 3.9% yield level was successful, but our ADVISE is to hold & not to be too aggressive in adding positions but still always use Trailing Stops to secure profits (if necessary). ID10YT is slightly restrained after a fairly drastic rise last Friday through the psychological yield level of 7%. Since RSI has also reached Overbought, our best ADVISE is to prepare yourself if a short pullback to test Support at the 7% level should occur. In terms of pattern, ID10YT still has an upside potential to TARGET 7.189-7.202%.
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